Saturday, November 16, 2019

Thanksgiving is now trending WARMER; short-lived warmth

By: Ryan Fannock

Early look at Thanksgiving and Black Friday!!

Thanksgiving Day: Cloudy and warm. Models are trending towards ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS!! Highs could top out in the mid to upper 50's!! There's a chance for a passing shower. But at this point, most of the day stays dry.

Thanksgiving Night: A shower or two. Low: 36

Black Friday: Mostly sunny. Cooler. High: 42.

Black Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Cold. Low: 28


Fannock's Shortcast - Saturday Night

By: Ryan Fannock
3 Day Forecast

Tonight: Mostly clear. Low: 20

Sunday: Any morning sun will quickly be covered up by increasing clouds. These clouds are associated with the approaching coastal storm. High: 38

Sunday Night: Cloudy. Low: 31

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Monday: A few rain showers are possible. The further east you go, the better chance you have at seeing any steady rain. The further west you go, the better chance you have at staying completely dry. This coastal storm track is uncertain as of now. Any wobble will make a difference in our forecast. If it moves further west, we get more rain. If it moves further east, we don't see any rain. One thing is certain though, ice will NOT be a factor. High: 42

Monday Night: A few rain showers are possible before temps drop below freezing. Low: 30

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Warmer. High: 45

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 30

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National Hi and Lo 11/16/19

Information from the Weather Prediction Center (WPC):

High Temperature for Saturday, November 16, 2019
(as received by 7 pm EST November 16)
93 at Dos Palmas, CA
93 at Camarillo, CA

Low Temperature for Saturday, November 16, 2019
(as received by 7 pm EST November 16)
-9 at Saranac Lake, NY
-9 at Mount Washington, NH

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Weather Word of the Day: Cumulonimbus Clouds

By: Ryan Fannock
Weather Word of the Day:
Cumulonimbus clouds

What are cumulonimbus clouds?

Cumulonimbus (from Latin cumulus, "heaped" and nimbus, "rainstorm") is a dense, towering vertical cloud, forming from water vapor carried by powerful upward air currents. If observed during a storm, these clouds may be referred to as thunderheads. Cumulonimbus can form alone, in clusters, or along cold front squall lines. These clouds are capable of producing lightning and other dangerous severe weather, such as tornadoes and hailstones. Cumulonimbus progress from overdeveloped cumulus congestus clouds and may further develop as part of a supercell.

Source - Wikipedia:


Good News! Coastal Storm won't be ICY; full details in article

By: Ryan Fannock
Coastal Storm Update

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There's a coastal storm brewing and we may see "some" effects from it in Eastern Pennsylvania. The good news is that any ICY situations are now thrown out the window. Phew! It was looking a bit dicey 24-36 hours ago with this storm. But as we get closer to it moving through, things are looking much better. As you can see in the image above, cold air is locked in out West while we sit under temps ABOVE freezing. Thus, we'd get some rain showers as the storm moves up the coast. I'm going to show you a few more images below to describe it all to you....

The image below shows the cold air moving East. This is happening because the storm is basically sucking down the cold air as it pulls away. So as the storm exits, cold air will filter in. I'll show you that in the next image...

In the image below, you can see the cold air over all of Pennsylvania. Since there's no precipitation, we'll just have temps below freezing without the threat of rain or snow. I'm going to show you rain totals in the next image...

In this image, you can see Schuylkill County in RED. Notice how Western Schuylkill doesn't pick up a single drop of rain while Eastern Schuylkill "could" see up to a quarter inch. Any wobble in the track can and will increase or decrease rain totals. The official track is yet to be determined. However, it doesn't matter which track this storm takes. Either way, we're going to see a shot of below freezing temps AFTER it pulls through the area. Whether that's closer to shore or further out to see is still uncertain. It could be a nuisance or it could just be a cloudy day...who knows. For now, hopefully you're a little more "in the know" with what's to come. Thanks for reading!!