Tuesday, January 1, 2019

My thoughts on Winter in 2019

We're one month into Meteorological Winter. What's been going on? All of the people calling for above normal snowfall are scratching their heads on what went wrong with their forecast so far. I'll tell you...

With an El Nino, our area almost always sees mix events. Warm air loves to surge in ahead of a storm. Bringing mainly rain events for us. Sometimes we'll squeeze out a little ice or snow to start or end a storm. But that's it. From what we've seen so far, I don't expect things to change.

El Nino is here! Mixes and rain events will continue. Snow is certainly going to happen, but we aren't going to see enough this Winter to put us above average. In a typical Winter, we see about 36-42" of snow in Schuylkill County. We'll stay below those numbers and I'm confident of that. This is for the months of December, January and February. That's meteorological winter. 

Our November snow does not get factored in to "Meteorological Winter" snow totals. Anything that falls in March does NOT count either. 

I do expect a wild March this year. It's been a pattern lately, so I don't see why it would be any different this year. Although, in past years, we saw big snows in March. That may be different this year since we're seeing "El Nino Mix Events." 

Buckle up, it's only January....

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Fannock's Forecast - Tuesday to Thursday

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Tuesday: Clouds and sun. Breezy. Temps dropping to 37 by 5pm. 

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 26

Wednesday: Mix of sun and clouds. High: 35

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 27

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. High: 38

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 31

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