Saturday, November 30, 2019

Fannock's 3 Day Forecast - Saturday Night



Sunday: Round 1 - Isolated showers of rain, sleet and snow between 5am to 9am. Some areas may not see any precipitation during those hours. Everyone will get in the action starting between 9am and 11am. Precip will be heavy at times. There will be brief breaks in the action as well. Wintry mix will continue through the afternoon. Winds will become gusty. By evening, most places (except the Poconos) will be above freezing. Thus, plain rain showers will fall for most. A LULL will also occur some time after dark sets in. Don't be alarmed, more precip will be coming in Round 2 after midnight. High: 34

ICE TOTALS ON SUNDAY

SNOW TOTALS FOR SUNDAY ONLY

Sunday Night: Round 2 kicks off after midnight. A wintry mix will be possible early. As the night progresses, things change over to all snow for everyone in my viewing area. Low: 31


Monday: Snow. Heavy at times.  A map with projected snow totals will be out Sunday evening. High: 35

Monday Night: Snow showers ending early. Otherwise, mostly cloudy. Low: 25

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High: 38

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 25

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Storm Update: Part 1 on Sunday


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By: Ryan Fannock
November 30, 2019
8:00PM Update

Good evening! I've seen a lot of different forecasts, maps and remarks about this upcoming storm today. You may wonder why I waited so long to put out an update. Well, model guidance is not that good. You can literally pick a different outcome with each model. So I wanted to wait until short range models started to come into range. In this update, I'm going to show you a video with details. I'll also give text below the video for those that prefer to read. With the text, I am also putting out two maps. One map is for ICE accretion; the other is for snow totals on Sunday.

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VIDEO BELOW

5am to 9am: Isolated showers of rain, snow and sleet. The word isolated means far away from other places. Example: someone in Lebanon County "could" pick up a shower, while someone in Schuylkill County stays completely dry during those hours.


9am to 11am: Steadier precipitation starts to move into Eastern Pennsylvania from west to east. By 11am, everyone in Eastern PA should be seeing precipitation. This will range from plain rain, to freezing rain, to sleet, to snow. It's all about location. In fact, you will most likely keep seeing different forms of precip throughout the day. This is called a WINTRY MIX.


11am to 5PM: Periods of wintry mix. You may see some dry slots, but overall, much of the day something will be falling from the sky.

5PM to 12AM: Scattered light wintry mix. Otherwise, much of the area will be under a LULL. A lull is when precipitation STOPS; but it's not the end of the event.

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12AM Monday and beyond: Part 2 of the storm will kick into gear. This part of the storm will be more on the snowy side. In the beginning there may be some mixing issues. But as the overnight hours wear on, snow will fall. 


Fannock's Projected
Snow Totals
Sunday ONLY
*Part 2 NOT included*
SCHUYLKILL COUNTY
OUTLINED IN BLACK


Fannock's Projected
ICE TOTALS
SUNDAY

PART 2 ARTICLE WILL BE OUT SUNDAY EVENING. I WILL HAVE SNOW TOTALS FOR PART 2 IN THAT ARTICLE. I DO NOT HAVE CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME TO FORECAST FOR MONDAY (PART 2).





Fannock's Extended Forecast - Saturday





Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 4:38pm

Daylight: 
9 hours 31 min

11/30/2019
Average High: 48
Average Low: 28



Moonrise: 10:03am
Moonset: 7:29PM

Duration: 
9 hours 26 min


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11/30/19
Clouds.
Some sun.
High: 40

Saturday Night:

Cloudy.
Wintry mix late.
Low: 28


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12/01/19
Wintry mix.
High: 33

Sunday Night:

Wintry mix changing to snow.
Low: 30


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12/02/19
Snow.
High: 34

Monday Night:

Decreasing clouds
Low: 24




12/03/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 38

Tuesday Night:

Partly cloudy.
Low: 22

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12/04/19
Mostly cloudy.
High: 40

Wednesday Night:

Partly cloudy.
Low: 28

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12/05/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 40

Thursday Night:

Partly cloudy.
Low: 26


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12/06/19
Mostly cloudy.
High: 40

Friday Night:

Partly cloudy.
Low: 23


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12/07/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 35

Saturday Night:

Partly cloudy.
Low: 24

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12/08/19
Partly sunny.
High: 40

Sunday Night:

Freezing rain.
Low: 30



12/09/19
Showers possible.
High: 45

Monday Night: 

Showers possible.
Low: 34

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12/10/19
Showers possible.
High: 42

Tuesday Night:

Showers possible.
Low: 34



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12/11/19
Partly cloudy.
High: 40

Wednesday Night:

Snow showers possible.
Low: 30


12/12/19
Rain/snow showers.
High: 38

Thursday Night:

Cloudy.
Low: 30


12/13/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 40

Friday Night:

Mostly cloudy.
Low: 34

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12/14/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 40

Saturday Night:

Mostly clear.
Low: 35


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12/15/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 40

Sunday Night:

Mostly clear.
Low: 25

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12/16/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 42

Monday Night:

Mostly cloudy.
Low: 30

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12/17/19
Mostly cloudy.
High: 38

Tuesday Night:

Mostly cloudy.
Low: 32


12/18/19
Rain showers.
High: 39

Wednesday Night:

Mostly cloudy.
Low: 32



12/19/19
Mostly sunny.
High: 40

Thursday Night:

Mostly cloudy.
Low: 33