Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Gusty Winds Thanksgiving Day for PA


By: Ryan Fannock
November 26, 2019

As you gobble down that turkey this Thursday, the wind will be whipping outside. I'm expecting 25-30mph gusts to arrive anytime after 11pm Wednesday Night. They will continue through daybreak Thursday; increasing by late morning. By 10-11am Thursday, you can expect 30-40mph gusts across much of the area. Below I'll show you an image of the entire state via the NAM model. Winds will decrease as we head throughout the day on Friday.

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10:00AM Thursday
Red Dot - Schuylkill County
Purple Dot - Luzerne County
Blue Dot - Carbon County
Orange Dot - Berks County
Yellow - 30 to 40mph gusts
Green - 20 to 30mph gusts


Weekend Storm Update as of Tuesday

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By: Ryan Fannock
November 26, 2019

Good afternoon! I've been tracking a storm for the past couple of days regarding this weekend. Out of the 3 major models, I'm currently leaning towards a GFS solution. I feel it's had a pretty decent handle on storms in the medium to long range this season. So I figured I'd break this storm down to you via images from the GFS. I'm looking for a start time to be Saturday evening. Storm would wrap up early Monday morning. While not much snow is on the table, it's the ice that could "potentially" be the main factor with this system. In the images below, I show you projected radar from the GFS. At the end, I give you snow and ice totals from the afternoon run of this model. As always, this storm track can and will change from now till then. So check back daily for more updates...

7:00PM Saturday
Snow approaches Schuylkill County

1:00AM Sunday
Snowing over entire viewing area


7:00AM Sunday
ICE over Schuylkill
Still snowing in Luzerne, Carbon

1:00PM Sunday
Light rain showers in Schuylkill
ICE in Luzerne
Dry slot over Carbon

7:00PM Sunday
Back to ICE in Schuylkill
Snow in Eastern Luzerne, Carbon

1:00AM Monday
Snow south and west of Schuylkill

7:00AM Monday
Storm exiting entire area

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12z GFS Potential ICE
0.41" for much of Schuylkill
0.1" Southern Luzerne
0.1" Carbon

12z GFS Potential Snowfall:
1-3" in Schuylkill
2-3" in Carbon
2-4" in Luzerne